Models

Model here refers to a simulation of the natural system and the interaction with
the environment and humans.

National models are critical for understanding and mitigating the risk from natural processes. Resilience that includes reduction through land use, engineering and adaptation, risk acceptance, transfer to insurance, and management of residual risk through monitoring and forecasting.

 
Models can support a future evolution of forecasting that not only describes the natural processes  and potential hazards but also their impacts.